D. Babol 1-4 Naft Gachsaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 21 Feb 2024

📅21/02/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
28%
2.77
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.33
Over 2.5
31%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
2.51
No
72%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
1.79
2-3 Goals
33%
1.93
4-5 Goals
14%
8.21
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
22%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.9pp
28%
Draw
33%
-4.5pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.4pp
69%
Under 2.5
72%
-2.9pp
31%
Over 2.5
28%
+2.9pp
28%
BTTS Yes
36%
-7.3pp
72%
BTTS No
64%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME D. Babol EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.75/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-17% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME D. Babol
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Naft Gachsaran
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
17.09.2023 Naft Gachsaran 0-0 HT 0-0 D. Babol D. Babol IRANAZ
POST-MATCH D. Babol vs Naft Gachsaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Gachsaran swept aside D. Babol 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Naft Gachsaran made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (72%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of D. Babol vs Naft Gachsaran?

D. Babol 1-4 Naft Gachsaran in the Iran - Azadegan League on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for D. Babol vs Naft Gachsaran?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naft Gachsaran win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split D. Babol 32%, draw 28%, Naft Gachsaran 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naft Gachsaran) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naft Gachsaran) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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