St. Louis 2-1 Houston Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi, 21 Feb 2024

📅21/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.12
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
43%
-9.7pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.5pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Louis EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Louis
2-1
AWAY Houston Dynamo
1.23 xG 0.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
176 Passes 305
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Louis vs Houston Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Louis squeezed past Houston Dynamo 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; St. Louis found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, St. Louis had 40% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 60%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.23 to 0.67.

What was the final score of St. Louis vs Houston Dynamo?

St. Louis 2-1 Houston Dynamo in the Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Louis vs Houston Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split St. Louis 33%, draw 33%, Houston Dynamo 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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