Correcaminos UAT 3-1 Monarcas Morelia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 21 Feb 2024

📅21/02/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.71
Over 2.5
35%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.81
No
62%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
55%
+9.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
45%
-10.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
51%
-13.4pp
62%
BTTS No
49%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
1.24/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.50
-8% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Monarcas Morelia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.08.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
15.02.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-1 HT 1-1 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
05.08.2022 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 1-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
09.02.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-1 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
27.08.2021 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-1 HT 1-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
06.02.2021 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-1 HT 2-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs Monarcas Morelia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Correcaminos UAT saw off Monarcas Morelia 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Correcaminos UAT as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 1.50 for Monarcas Morelia.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs Monarcas Morelia?

Correcaminos UAT 3-1 Monarcas Morelia in the Mexico - Primera A on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs Monarcas Morelia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Correcaminos UAT win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 42%, draw 29%, Monarcas Morelia 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Correcaminos UAT) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Correcaminos UAT) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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