Stade Nyonnais 3-0 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
2.81
6+ Goals
9%
8.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 27% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-5.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.7pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 57%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.08/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.51
+69% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.3 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Nyonnais
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
0.85 xG 3.17
46% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
248 Passes 334
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 6-2 HT 1-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
30.08.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 0-3 HT 0-2 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Nyonnais
3-0
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.92 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
254 Passes 290
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stade Nyonnais vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Nyonnais swept aside Stade Ouchy 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Stade Ouchy at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Stade Nyonnais had 48% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 52%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 1.92 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stade Ouchy led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stade Nyonnais and 4.50 for Stade Ouchy.

What was the final score of Stade Nyonnais vs Stade Ouchy?

Stade Nyonnais 3-0 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland Challenge League on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Nyonnais vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stade Nyonnais 26%, draw 26%, Stade Ouchy 48%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Stade Ouchy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Ouchy) ✓ BTTS No
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