Austria Lustenau 0-1 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.61
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.95
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
9%
6.47
X/2
12%
4.84
X/X
12%
4.19
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
28%
3.17
2/X
4%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
2.90/2.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/2.14
+22% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
225 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 78%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
16.2 Crosses 17.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Lustenau
2W-2D-2L
AWAY St. Pölten
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2024 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-0 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
01.11.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 4-0 HT 3-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AUK
08.05.2022 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 3-0 HT 3-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
31.10.2021 St. Pölten St. Pölten 1-1 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
26.04.2016 St. Pölten St. Pölten 3-0 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
04.03.2016 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 4-2 HT 1-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
POST-MATCH Austria Lustenau vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten edged past Austria Lustenau 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Pölten as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Austria Lustenau and 1.67 for St. Pölten.

What was the final score of Austria Lustenau vs St. Pölten?

Austria Lustenau 0-1 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Lustenau vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Austria Lustenau 31%, draw 25%, St. Pölten 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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