Danimarka (K) 1-2 İsveç (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.24
6+ Goals
12%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 27% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
16%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+7.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
34%
Away Win
43%
-9.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danimarka (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY İsveç (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
Crosses 16.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danimarka (K)
0W-1D-2L
AWAY İsveç (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.63 xG 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
292 Passes 297
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 13
04.09.2018 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) KDK
27.10.2015 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) ABK
08.04.2015 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) 3-3 HT 1-0 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danimarka (K)
1-2
AWAY İsveç (K)
1.15 xG 1.53
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
439 Passes 308
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Danimarka (K) vs İsveç (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İsveç (K) squeezed past Danimarka (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; İsveç (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Danimarka (K) had 56% of the ball to İsveç (K)'s 44%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.15 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, İsveç (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Danimarka (K) and 1.67 for İsveç (K).

What was the final score of Danimarka (K) vs İsveç (K)?

Danimarka (K) 1-2 İsveç (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danimarka (K) vs İsveç (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danimarka (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Danimarka (K) 38%, draw 29%, İsveç (K) 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Danimarka (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Danimarka (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKUL More Austria - Karnten Unterliga
21 Feb 2025
13:30 Ermenistan (K) vs Liechtenstein (K) Analysis →
15:00 Bosna-Hersek (K) vs Romanya (K) Analysis →
16:00 Azerbaycan (K) vs Karadağ (K) Analysis →
16:00 Moldova (K) vs Cebelitarık (K) Analysis →
17:30 Yunanistan (K) vs Slovenya (K) Analysis →
18:00 Gürcistan (K) vs Andorra (K) Analysis →