Fransa (K) 1-0 Norveç (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒23:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No OUR CALL
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.12
6+ Goals
8%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 27% vs market 22.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransa (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Norveç (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
385 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fransa (K)
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Norveç (K)
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.36 xG 0.44
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
359 Passes 294
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.10.2023 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Norveç (K) Norveç (K) AVKUL
27.10.2023 Norveç (K) Norveç (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) AVKUL
21.02.2023 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Norveç (K) Norveç (K) KFT
11.11.2022 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Norveç (K) Norveç (K) HAZ
12.06.2019 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Norveç (K) Norveç (K) KDK
11.07.2017 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Norveç (K) Norveç (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransa (K)
1-0
AWAY Norveç (K)
0.44 xG 0.21
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
385 Passes 192
79% Pass Accuracy 63%
24 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fransa (K) vs Norveç (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa (K) squeezed past Norveç (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fransa (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Fransa (K) had 62% of the ball to Norveç (K)'s 38%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.44 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fransa (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fransa (K) and 0.67 for Norveç (K).

What was the final score of Fransa (K) vs Norveç (K)?

Fransa (K) 1-0 Norveç (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransa (K) vs Norveç (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Fransa (K) 51%, draw 24%, Norveç (K) 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa (K)), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fransa (K)) ✓ BTTS No
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