Lüksemburg (K) 2-2 Kazakistan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.9pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lüksemburg (K) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kazakistan (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-44% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lüksemburg (K)
2-2
AWAY Kazakistan (K)
59% Ball Possession 41%
4 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lüksemburg (K) vs Kazakistan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lüksemburg (K) and Kazakistan (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Lüksemburg (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Lüksemburg (K) had 59% of the ball to Kazakistan (K)'s 41%, shots finished 4-6.

What was the final score of Lüksemburg (K) vs Kazakistan (K)?

Lüksemburg (K) 2-2 Kazakistan (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lüksemburg (K) vs Kazakistan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lüksemburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lüksemburg (K) 43%, draw 29%, Kazakistan (K) 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lüksemburg (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lüksemburg (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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