ENPPI 1-0 Smouha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 21 Feb 2025

ENPPI
1-0 HT 0-0
Smouha
📅21/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
30%
2.7
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.33
Over 2.5
36%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.51
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
16%
7.81
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.2pp
30%
Draw
34%
-3.6pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+2.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
72%
-7.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
28%
+7.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.0pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ENPPI EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Smouha EU Bookmakers 42%
+7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.13/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.98
+7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.0 Crosses 14.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ENPPI
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Smouha
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.89 xG 1.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
240 Passes 288
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.07.2024 Smouha Smouha 2-0 HT 0-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
18.02.2024 ENPPI ENPPI 0-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
11.07.2023 Smouha Smouha 2-1 HT 2-1 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
29.01.2023 ENPPI ENPPI 0-2 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
28.05.2022 Smouha Smouha 1-1 HT 1-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
19.11.2021 ENPPI ENPPI 1-1 HT 1-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ENPPI
1-0
AWAY Smouha
1.74 xG 1.78
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
107 Passes 299
53% Pass Accuracy 73%
8 Box Touches 40
8 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ENPPI vs Smouha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ENPPI nicked a narrow win over Smouha 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Smouha at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, ENPPI had 32% of the ball to Smouha's 68%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 1.74 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Smouha led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ENPPI and 1.33 for Smouha.

What was the final score of ENPPI vs Smouha?

ENPPI 1-0 Smouha in the Egypt - Premier League on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ENPPI vs Smouha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split ENPPI 29%, draw 30%, Smouha 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Smouha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Smouha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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