Japonya (K) 4-0 Avustralya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — SheBelieves Cup, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+10.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Avustralya (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Japonya (K)
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Avustralya (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
333 Passes 302
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.08.2018 Avustralya (K) Avustralya (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) Dünya - Uluslar Turnuvası
20.04.2018 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Avustralya (K) Avustralya (K) Asya Kupası Kadınlar
13.04.2018 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Avustralya (K) Avustralya (K) Asya Kupası Kadınlar
31.07.2017 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) 2-4 HT 1-3 Avustralya (K) Avustralya (K) Dünya - Uluslar Turnuvası
27.06.2015 Avustralya (K) Avustralya (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) KDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya (K)
4-0
AWAY Avustralya (K)
2.69 xG 0.04
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 1
8 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
532 Passes 360
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 10
POST-MATCH Japonya (K) vs Avustralya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya (K) cruised past Avustralya (K) 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Japonya (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Japonya (K) had 58% of the ball to Avustralya (K)'s 42%, shots finished 18-1, expected goals 2.69 to 0.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Japonya (K) and 1.40 for Avustralya (K).

What was the final score of Japonya (K) vs Avustralya (K)?

Japonya (K) 4-0 Avustralya (K) in the SheBelieves Cup on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya (K) vs Avustralya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Japonya (K) 46%, draw 22%, Avustralya (K) 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Japonya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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