Ario Eslamshahr 1-0 Pars Jam Bushehr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.33
Draw
37%
2.83
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.28
Over 2.5
36%
3.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.6
No
54%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
13%
8.14
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
39%
-8.3pp
37%
Draw
32%
+5.4pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
75%
-11.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
25%
+11.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
34%
+11.5pp
54%
BTTS No
66%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ario Eslamshahr EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Pars Jam Bushehr EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -8%
0.75/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.18
-28% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ario Eslamshahr
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Pars Jam Bushehr
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
30.09.2025 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr 1-0 HT 1-0 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr IRANAZ
29.10.2024 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr 1-1 HT 0-1 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr IRANAZ
08.10.2023 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr 0-0 HT 0-0 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr IRANAZ
25.02.2023 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr 0-0 HT 0-0 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Ario Eslamshahr vs Pars Jam Bushehr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ario Eslamshahr squeezed past Pars Jam Bushehr 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 37% / 31% — and on the day Ario Eslamshahr made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pars Jam Bushehr led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Ario Eslamshahr and 0.50 for Pars Jam Bushehr.

What was the final score of Ario Eslamshahr vs Pars Jam Bushehr?

Ario Eslamshahr 1-0 Pars Jam Bushehr in the Iran - Azadegan League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ario Eslamshahr vs Pars Jam Bushehr?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ario Eslamshahr 31%, draw 37%, Pars Jam Bushehr 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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