Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-1 Irapuato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 21 Feb 2026

Tepatitlán de Morelos
2 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Irapuato
📅21/02/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2025/2026

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Irapuato Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.74
Over
45%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
48%
4-5
19%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
2%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Tepatitlán de Morelos v Irapuato — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Irapuato The Market 33%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.09 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.14
0.96 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.69
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Bad
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Irapuato Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Irapuato
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
15.09.2025 Irapuato Irapuato 0-0 HT 0-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2

Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-1 Irapuato — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos
2 - 1
AWAY Irapuato
39% Ball Possession 61%
24 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Irapuato
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Tepatitlán de Morelos found just enough to beat Irapuato 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tepatitlán de Morelos as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Tepatitlán de Morelos had 39% of the ball to Irapuato's 61%, shots finished 24-11.

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Irapuato Result & Final Score

Tepatitlán de Morelos 2 - 1 Irapuato in the Mexico - Primera A on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Irapuato Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 43%, draw 31%, Irapuato 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
21 Feb 2026
04:00 Dorados De Sinaloa vs Monarcas Morelia Analysis →