Plymouth Parkway 1-1 Winchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.5pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Winchester City EU Bookmakers 38%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.93/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.47/1.95
+86% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Parkway
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Winchester City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
03.10.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 1-1 HT 0-1 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
18.04.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 1-0 HT 1-0 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
18.02.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 2-1 HT 1-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Parkway
1-1
AWAY Winchester City
62% Ball Possession 38%
7 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Plymouth Parkway vs Winchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Parkway and Winchester City shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Plymouth Parkway at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Plymouth Parkway had 62% of the ball to Winchester City's 38%, shots finished 7-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Plymouth Parkway and 1.00 for Winchester City.

What was the final score of Plymouth Parkway vs Winchester City?

Plymouth Parkway 1-1 Winchester City in the England - Non League Premier on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Parkway vs Winchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Parkway win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Parkway 43%, draw 24%, Winchester City 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Plymouth Parkway) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Plymouth Parkway) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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