Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0-2 Ironi Nesher — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Liga Alef, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
17%
3.72
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.9pp
17%
Draw
24%
-7.0pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ironi Nesher EU Bookmakers 27%
-66% / -66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +63% / +63%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-100% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ironi Nesher
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
29.12.2023 Ironi Nesher Ironi Nesher 0-3 HT 0-0 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm İSALEF
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
0-2
AWAY Ironi Nesher
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Nesher
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ironi Nesher beat Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm had 54% of the ball to Ironi Nesher's 46%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Nesher?

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0-2 Ironi Nesher in the Israel - Liga Alef on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Nesher?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 51%, draw 17%, Ironi Nesher 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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