Asheville City 0-2 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asheville City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asheville City
0-2
AWAY One Knoxville
0.83 xG 0.86
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
193 Passes 330
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Asheville City vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville got the better of Asheville City 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day One Knoxville made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Asheville City had 40% of the ball to One Knoxville's 60%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 0.83 to 0.86.

What was the final score of Asheville City vs One Knoxville?

Asheville City 0-2 One Knoxville in the USA - Open Cup on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asheville City vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asheville City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Asheville City 40%, draw 25%, One Knoxville 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Asheville City) ✗ BTTS Yes
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