Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 Lanus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 21 Mar 2024

Belgrano Cordoba
0-1 HT 0-0
Lanus
📅21/03/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Belgrano Cordoba vs Lanus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.3
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.12
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
10%
5.27
X/2
13%
5.12
X/X
17%
3.72
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.97
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Belgrano Cordoba v Lanus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Lanus EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.08/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.00
+39% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
235 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
21.1 Crosses 21.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Belgrano Cordoba vs Lanus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Lanus
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.67 xG 1.53
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
249 Passes 366
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.10.2023 Lanus Lanus 2-0 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
12.03.2023 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
31.03.2019 Lanus Lanus 3-1 HT 1-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
03.02.2018 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
02.10.2016 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 1-1 HT 1-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
18.09.2015 Lanus Lanus 5-1 HT 2-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba CON CSA

Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 Lanus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
0-1
AWAY Lanus
0.89 xG 1.09
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
321 Passes 184
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
21 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Belgrano Cordoba vs Lanus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lanus squeezed past Belgrano Cordoba 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Lanus made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Belgrano Cordoba had 61% of the ball to Lanus's 39%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.89 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lanus led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Belgrano Cordoba and 1.83 for Lanus.

What was the final score of Belgrano Cordoba vs Lanus?

Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 Lanus in the Argentina - Premier League on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belgrano Cordoba vs Lanus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Belgrano Cordoba 35%, draw 29%, Lanus 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lanus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lanus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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