Aurora 4-1 Royal Pari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 21 Mar 2024

Aurora
4-1 HT 2-1
Royal Pari
📅21/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Aurora vs Royal Pari Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
63%
-15.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aurora v Royal Pari — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Pari EU Bookmakers 19%
-15% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.63/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.68
+13% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 72%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
23.5 Crosses 10.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Aurora vs Royal Pari Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Royal Pari
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.79 xG 0.48
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
228 Passes 274
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.10.2023 Royal Pari Royal Pari 2-2 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
30.04.2023 Aurora Aurora 3-0 HT 1-0 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
19.08.2021 Royal Pari Royal Pari 1-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
17.12.2020 Royal Pari Royal Pari 1-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
18.02.2020 Aurora Aurora 0-1 HT 0-1 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
06.12.2019 Aurora Aurora 2-0 HT 1-0 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ

Aurora 4-1 Royal Pari — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
4-1
AWAY Royal Pari
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Royal Pari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora swept aside Royal Pari 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Aurora had 53% of the ball to Royal Pari's 47%, shots finished 18-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Royal Pari led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aurora and 0.83 for Royal Pari.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Royal Pari?

Aurora 4-1 Royal Pari in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Royal Pari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aurora 48%, draw 25%, Royal Pari 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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