Vila Nova 1-0 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Verde Cup, 21 Mar 2024

Vila Nova
1-0 HT 1-0
Goias
📅21/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Brazil - Verde Cup – 2024

Vila Nova vs Goias Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.1pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vila Nova v Goias — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vila Nova EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 24%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
0.76/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-64% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +101%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Vila Nova vs Goias Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vila Nova
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Goias
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.06 xG 0.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
232 Passes 276
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.09.2021 Goias Goias 1-2 HT 0-1 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
26.06.2021 Vila Nova Vila Nova 0-0 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR2
11.04.2021 Vila Nova Vila Nova 2-1 HT 1-0 Goias Goias BRGO1
07.03.2021 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 0-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BRGO1
25.08.2018 Vila Nova Vila Nova 3-0 HT 1-0 Goias Goias BR2
05.05.2018 Goias Goias 1-3 HT 1-1 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
POST-MATCH Vila Nova vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vila Nova nicked a narrow win over Goias 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vila Nova as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vila Nova had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vila Nova and 0.67 for Goias.

What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Goias?

Vila Nova 1-0 Goias in the Brazil - Verde Cup on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 43%, draw 31%, Goias 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vila Nova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vila Nova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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