21/03/2024
·
02:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
0-0
El Salvador vs Bonaire Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
82%
33%
Draw
10%
33%
Away Win
7%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Salvador v Bonaire — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
El Salvador
EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bonaire
EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
0
Total Shots
0
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Corners
0
0 · 0%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
0 · 0%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
El Salvador vs Bonaire
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
El Salvador and Bonaire shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of El Salvador vs Bonaire?
El Salvador 1-1 Bonaire in the Dünya - FIFA Dışı Hazırlık on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Salvador vs Bonaire?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Salvador win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split El Salvador 33%, draw 33%, Bonaire 33%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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