Deportivo Tachira 1-0 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.7pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.0pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
0.89/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.48
-5% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
17.9 Crosses 16.2
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Tachira
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Monagas
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.20 xG 0.30
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
248 Passes 428
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
6 Box Touches 15
6 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.09.2023 Monagas Monagas 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
19.02.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
19.06.2022 Monagas Monagas 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
29.05.2022 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 4-2 HT 1-2 Monagas Monagas VEN
20.11.2021 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
01.11.2021 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 3-1 HT 2-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Tachira
1-0
AWAY Monagas
1.19 xG 0.38
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
253 Passes 239
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Tachira vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Tachira edged past Monagas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Tachira as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Tachira had 51% of the ball to Monagas's 49%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.19 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Deportivo Tachira and 1.33 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Deportivo Tachira vs Monagas?

Deportivo Tachira 1-0 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Tachira vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Tachira 45%, draw 32%, Monagas 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Tachira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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