Leiston 1-0 Worcester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.95
Over 2.5
40%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.3pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Worcester City EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.31/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.50
-8% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiston
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Worcester City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.11.2025 Worcester City Worcester City 1-1 HT 0-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leiston
1-0
AWAY Worcester City
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leiston vs Worcester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston squeezed past Worcester City 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Leiston found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Leiston had 55% of the ball to Worcester City's 45%, shots finished 7-3.

What was the final score of Leiston vs Worcester City?

Leiston 1-0 Worcester City in the England - Non League Premier on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs Worcester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worcester City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leiston 31%, draw 29%, Worcester City 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Worcester City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Worcester City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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