Lazio (K) 1-2 Roma (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
52%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
51%
Away Win
48%
+3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lazio (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.89/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.53
+82% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -48%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
21.7 Crosses 21.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lazio (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Roma (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.69 xG 1.96
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 13
328 Passes 239
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
16.11.2025 Roma (K) Roma (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) İTKSA
17.11.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lazio (K)
1-2
AWAY Roma (K)
1.08 xG 1.36
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
254 Passes 394
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lazio (K) vs Roma (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) squeezed past Lazio (K) 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Lazio (K) had 42% of the ball to Roma (K)'s 58%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 1.08 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Roma (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lazio (K) and 1.50 for Roma (K).

What was the final score of Lazio (K) vs Roma (K)?

Lazio (K) 1-2 Roma (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lazio (K) vs Roma (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lazio (K) 24%, draw 24%, Roma (K) 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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