San Lorenzo 5-0 Rincón — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.32
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
31%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
72%
-5.1pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.6pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.3pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Rincón EU Bookmakers 12%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-53% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
317 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 71%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
28.5 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH San Lorenzo vs Rincón
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Lorenzo cruised past Rincón 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had San Lorenzo as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Rincón?

San Lorenzo 5-0 Rincón in the Argentina - Cup on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Rincón?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 67%, draw 19%, Rincón 14%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Lorenzo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Lorenzo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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21 Mar 2026
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