FK Pardubice 1-2 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 30% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
0.56/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.78
-19% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
10.0 Crosses 9.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
12.02.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
27.08.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-3 HT 0-3 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
05.12.2021 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-3 HT 0-3 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
08.08.2021 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-1 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
19.03.2021 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-2 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
1-2
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
0.62 xG 1.06
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 11
337 Passes 260
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 39
17 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav squeezed past FK Pardubice 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Mlada Boleslav made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FK Pardubice had 55% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 45%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.62 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FK Pardubice and 1.50 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of FK Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav?

FK Pardubice 1-2 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 35%, draw 26%, Mlada Boleslav 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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