Blackburn Rovers 1-3 Sheffield Wednesday — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.73
6+ Goals
12%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 28% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.98
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
14%
4.64
X/2
6%
6.58
X/X
10%
4.55
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
13%
4.85
2/X
12%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -21%
1.46/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.35
+8% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
325 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 73%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
16.6 Crosses 17.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackburn Rovers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.35 xG 1.13
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
428 Passes 222
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 3-1 HT 1-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
20.04.2021 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
26.12.2020 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-1 HT 0-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
18.01.2020 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-5 HT 0-3 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
02.11.2019 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
16.03.2019 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 4-2 HT 1-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackburn Rovers
1-3
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
0.96 xG 1.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
327 Passes 190
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
14 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Blackburn Rovers vs Sheffield Wednesday
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield Wednesday beat Blackburn Rovers 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Blackburn Rovers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Blackburn Rovers had 60% of the ball to Sheffield Wednesday's 40%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.96 to 1.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sheffield Wednesday led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Blackburn Rovers and 1.67 for Sheffield Wednesday.

What was the final score of Blackburn Rovers vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Blackburn Rovers 1-3 Sheffield Wednesday in the England - Championship on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackburn Rovers vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackburn Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Blackburn Rovers 44%, draw 30%, Sheffield Wednesday 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →