Arsenal (K) 3-0 Leicester City WFC (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.98
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
82%
-18.0pp
18%
Draw
11%
+6.3pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+11.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+16.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City WFC (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
2.33/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.06/1.67
+20% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
419 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
68.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.0
22.9 Crosses 3.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal (K)
3-0
AWAY Leicester City WFC (K)
3.35 xG 0.65
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
470 Passes 268
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
50 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Arsenal (K) vs Leicester City WFC (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) swept aside Leicester City WFC (K) 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Arsenal (K) had 61% of the ball to Leicester City WFC (K)'s 39%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 3.35 to 0.65.

What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Leicester City WFC (K)?

Arsenal (K) 3-0 Leicester City WFC (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Leicester City WFC (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 64%, draw 18%, Leicester City WFC (K) 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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