IK Oddevold 2-1 Gefle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 21 Apr 2024

IK Oddevold
2-1 HT 1-0
Gefle
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

IK Oddevold vs Gefle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.3
6+ Goals
7%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 32% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.65
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
16%
4.07
X/2
9%
7.43
X/X
13%
4.37
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
12%
6.09
2/X
10%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Oddevold v Gefle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Oddevold EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gefle EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.7
POST-MATCH IK Oddevold vs Gefle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Oddevold edged past Gefle 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had IK Oddevold as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of IK Oddevold vs Gefle?

IK Oddevold 2-1 Gefle in the Sweden - Superettan on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Oddevold vs Gefle?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Oddevold win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split IK Oddevold 43%, draw 30%, Gefle 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Oddevold) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IK Oddevold) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
21 Apr 2024
16:00 IK Brage vs Landskrona Analysis →