Karlbergs BK 2-2 Hammarby Talang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
45%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.61
No
58%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
-16.0pp
58%
BTTS No
42%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby Talang EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlbergs BK
2-2
AWAY Hammarby Talang
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Karlbergs BK vs Hammarby Talang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlbergs BK and Hammarby Talang shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hammarby Talang at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Karlbergs BK had 42% of the ball to Hammarby Talang's 58%, shots finished 8-17.

What was the final score of Karlbergs BK vs Hammarby Talang?

Karlbergs BK 2-2 Hammarby Talang in the Sweden - 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlbergs BK vs Hammarby Talang?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hammarby Talang win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Karlbergs BK 29%, draw 26%, Hammarby Talang 45%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby Talang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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