Lugano II 4-0 Brühl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
25%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
33%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Brühl EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.35/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.50
-21% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Brühl
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.10.2023 Brühl Brühl 1-0 HT 0-0 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Lugano II vs Brühl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano II ran out comfortable winners over Brühl 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Brühl at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Lugano II vs Brühl?

Lugano II 4-0 Brühl in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano II vs Brühl?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brühl win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lugano II 28%, draw 27%, Brühl 45%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brühl) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İSV1Y More Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme
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