Napoli (K) 1-1 Pomigliano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
17%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
2.0
Over 2.5
38%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.73
No
63%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
3%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.2pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.7pp
17%
Away Win
23%
-5.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
46%
+15.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
54%
-15.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
54%
-16.3pp
63%
BTTS No
46%
+16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pomigliano (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
-72% / -72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.50
-100% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
Crosses 14.0
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Pomigliano (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.50 xG 0.86
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
307 Passes 271
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Pomigliano (K) İTKSA
19.11.2023 Pomigliano (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
1-1
AWAY Pomigliano (K)
1.47 xG 0.54
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
348 Passes 235
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Napoli (K) vs Pomigliano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli (K) and Pomigliano (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Napoli (K) at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Napoli (K) had 57% of the ball to Pomigliano (K)'s 43%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 1.47 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Napoli (K) and 1.00 for Pomigliano (K).

What was the final score of Napoli (K) vs Pomigliano (K)?

Napoli (K) 1-1 Pomigliano (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli (K) vs Pomigliano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 53%, draw 30%, Pomigliano (K) 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Napoli (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Napoli (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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