Köln (K) 2-0 Freiburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 21 Apr 2024

Köln (K)
2-0 HT 0-0
Freiburg (K)
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Köln (K) vs Freiburg (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
17%
2/2
18%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Köln (K) v Freiburg (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
2.84/2.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/0.25
+70% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.0 Crosses 14.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Köln (K) 2-0 Freiburg (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln (K)
2-0
AWAY Freiburg (K)
2.08 xG 0.45
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
197 Passes 305
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 12
10 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Köln (K) vs Freiburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln (K) saw off Freiburg (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Köln (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Köln (K) had 42% of the ball to Freiburg (K)'s 58%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.08 to 0.45.

What was the final score of Köln (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Köln (K) 2-0 Freiburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Freiburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Köln (K) 33%, draw 28%, Freiburg (K) 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg (K)) ✗ Over 2.5
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