Carl Zeiss Jena 3-3 Berliner AK 07 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Apr 2024

Carl Zeiss Jena
3-3 HT 1-0
Berliner AK 07
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Carl Zeiss Jena vs Berliner AK 07 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.61
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
76%
-14.2pp
20%
Draw
15%
+5.5pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.9pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Carl Zeiss Jena v Berliner AK 07 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Berliner AK 07 EU Bookmakers 12%
-5% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
2.17/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.95
-10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +20%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
485 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Carl Zeiss Jena vs Berliner AK 07 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Berliner AK 07
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.11.2023 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 0-1 HT 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
28.04.2023 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 1-8 HT 1-4 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
11.11.2022 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 3-0 HT 3-0 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 ALMBÖL
03.12.2021 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-0 HT 1-0 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 ALMBÖL
24.07.2021 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 1-0 HT 1-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
19.09.2020 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 1-5 HT 0-3 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL

Carl Zeiss Jena 3-3 Berliner AK 07 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena
3-3
AWAY Berliner AK 07
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Carl Zeiss Jena vs Berliner AK 07
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carl Zeiss Jena and Berliner AK 07 shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Carl Zeiss Jena at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Carl Zeiss Jena had 59% of the ball to Berliner AK 07's 41%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carl Zeiss Jena had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Carl Zeiss Jena and 0.50 for Berliner AK 07.

What was the final score of Carl Zeiss Jena vs Berliner AK 07?

Carl Zeiss Jena 3-3 Berliner AK 07 in the Germany - Regional League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carl Zeiss Jena vs Berliner AK 07?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carl Zeiss Jena win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Carl Zeiss Jena 62%, draw 20%, Berliner AK 07 18%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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