Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-2 Al Thaid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.0pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jazira Al Hamra EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 37%
+12% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.98/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.62
+51% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jazira Al Hamra
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Thaid
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAECK
29.01.2023 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
18.09.2022 Al Thaid Al Thaid 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra BAE2
16.04.2022 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 1-2 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
31.12.2021 Al Thaid Al Thaid 2-3 HT 1-2 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Al Thaid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jazira Al Hamra squeezed past Al Thaid 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Al Jazira Al Hamra made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Jazira Al Hamra had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Al Jazira Al Hamra and 1.20 for Al Thaid.

What was the final score of Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Al Thaid?

Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-2 Al Thaid in the UAE - 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Al Thaid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jazira Al Hamra win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Jazira Al Hamra 39%, draw 26%, Al Thaid 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Jazira Al Hamra), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Jazira Al Hamra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAE2 More UAE - 1st Division
21 Apr 2024
16:55 Dibba Al Hisn vs Al Fujairah Analysis →
17:00 Al Hamriyah vs Dibba Al Fujairah Analysis →