Universitario de Vinto 0-1 The Strongest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
44%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+7.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY The Strongest EU Bookmakers 40%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
1.27/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.16
-25% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
16.9 Crosses 14.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
1W-0D-2L
AWAY The Strongest
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.32 xG 1.30
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
245 Passes 313
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.07.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-3 HT 0-1 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
05.02.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 2-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
15.10.2022 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 2-1 HT 1-1 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
0-1
AWAY The Strongest
0.87 xG 1.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
299 Passes 213
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 14
30 Crosses 18
7 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs The Strongest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The Strongest edged past Universitario de Vinto 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had The Strongest as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 56% of the ball to The Strongest's 44%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 0.87 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, The Strongest led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 2.00 for The Strongest.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs The Strongest?

Universitario de Vinto 0-1 The Strongest in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs The Strongest?

Before kick-off our model rated an The Strongest win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 30%, draw 26%, The Strongest 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The Strongest), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The Strongest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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