Ceara 1-1 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 21 Apr 2024

Ceara
1-1 HT 1-1
Goias
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Ceara vs Goias Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.33
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.0pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.2pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ceara v Goias — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceara EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
0.76/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.24
-25% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
20.0 Crosses 17.8
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Ceara vs Goias Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Goias
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.58 xG 1.30
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
323 Passes 273
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.10.2022 Ceara Ceara 1-1 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR1
12.06.2022 Goias Goias 1-1 HT 0-1 Ceara Ceara BR1
22.01.2021 Goias Goias 0-4 HT 0-2 Ceara Ceara BR1
28.09.2020 Ceara Ceara 2-2 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BR1
06.10.2019 Ceara Ceara 0-1 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BR1
12.05.2019 Goias Goias 2-1 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR1

Ceara 1-1 Goias — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
1-1
AWAY Goias
1.87 xG 1.26
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 3
332 Passes 140
80% Pass Accuracy 63%
30 Box Touches 8
38 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ceara vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceara and Goias couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Ceara had 66% of the ball to Goias's 34%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 1.87 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ceara and 1.17 for Goias.

What was the final score of Ceara vs Goias?

Ceara 1-1 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceara vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ceara 39%, draw 30%, Goias 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ceara), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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