York United 0-3 Forge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

York United
0-3 HT 0-1
Forge
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

York United vs Forge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.27
6+ Goals
8%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 30% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.4pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

York United v Forge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Forge EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.14/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.03
-16% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +46%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
19.5 Crosses 15.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

York United vs Forge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Forge
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.85 xG 1.72
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
320 Passes 405
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Forge Forge 3-3 HT 1-0 York United York United CAPL
10.07.2023 York United York United 0-4 HT 0-2 Forge Forge KAPL
01.06.2023 Forge Forge 1-2 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
06.05.2023 York United York United 0-1 HT 0-1 Forge Forge KAPL
02.10.2022 Forge Forge 2-0 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
21.08.2022 Forge Forge 1-3 HT 0-1 York United York United KAPL

York United 0-3 Forge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York United
0-3
AWAY Forge
0.32 xG 1.81
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 5
368 Passes 430
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 29
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH York United vs Forge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge ran out comfortable winners over York United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, York United had 47% of the ball to Forge's 53%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.32 to 1.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for York United and 2.00 for Forge.

What was the final score of York United vs Forge?

York United 0-3 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York United vs Forge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split York United 31%, draw 25%, Forge 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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