Aalborg 3-3 Kolding IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.46
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 31% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.02
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
9%
12.5
X/1
15%
4.93
X/2
11%
6.73
X/X
12%
4.57
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
13%
4.7
2/X
5%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.2pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalborg EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 33%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.17/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.06
+40% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
400 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
14.7 Crosses 20.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalborg
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Kolding IF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.62 xG 0.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
355 Passes 323
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Kolding IF Kolding IF 0-1 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
03.09.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 3-1 HT 1-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalborg
3-3
AWAY Kolding IF
1.20 xG 2.47
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 2
426 Passes 254
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 45
16 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Aalborg vs Kolding IF
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Aalborg and Kolding IF shared the points in a 3-3 draw in the Denmark 1st Division on 21 Apr 2024. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Aalborg had 60% of the ball to Kolding IF's 40%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 1.20 to 2.47.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aalborg have the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aalborg and 0.50 for Kolding IF.

What was the final score of Aalborg vs Kolding IF?

Aalborg 3-3 Kolding IF in the Denmark 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalborg vs Kolding IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalborg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aalborg 44%, draw 26%, Kolding IF 31%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aalborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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