Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.3pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 24%
+12% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
2.00/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.26
+28% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
310 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-0 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
08.10.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-1 HT 1-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
14.08.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
19.03.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 1-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
24.03.2022 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-1 HT 1-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
27.01.2022 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 0-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo and Isidro Metapan shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Luis Angel Firpo at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 0.67 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Isidro Metapan?

Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 47%, draw 30%, Isidro Metapan 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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