KuPS Ak. 0-2 Klubi-04 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.4
Draw
28%
4.49
Away
43%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.51
Over 2.5
45%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
5.53
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
20%
2.65
6+ Goals
13%
6.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.53 — our 30% vs market 13.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
15%
+14.0pp
28%
Draw
19%
+8.7pp
43%
Away Win
66%
-22.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
36%
+18.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
64%
-18.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.8pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Klubi-04 EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
234 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Ak.
0-2
AWAY Klubi-04
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH KuPS Ak. vs Klubi-04
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Klubi-04 got the better of KuPS Ak. 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Klubi-04 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KuPS Ak. had 39% of the ball to Klubi-04's 61%, shots finished 5-11.

What was the final score of KuPS Ak. vs Klubi-04?

KuPS Ak. 0-2 Klubi-04 in the Finland - Ykkönen on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Ak. vs Klubi-04?

Before kick-off our model rated an Klubi-04 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split KuPS Ak. 29%, draw 28%, Klubi-04 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Klubi-04), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Klubi-04) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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