EIF 1-1 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 21 Apr 2024

EIF
1-1 HT 1-0
Oulu
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2024

EIF vs Oulu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
41%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.75
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
28%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.61
1/2
7%
23.15
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1 EV+ ✗
16%
7.81
X/2
15%
4.43
X/X
12%
5.05
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.54
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · X/1 at 7.81 — our 16% vs market 9.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+9.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

EIF v Oulu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EIF EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

EIF vs Oulu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EIF
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Oulu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
The Meetings
31.10.2020 EIF EIF 1-2 HT 0-2 Oulu Oulu FİN2
21.08.2020 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 1-1 EIF EIF FİN2
20.10.2019 EIF EIF 2-2 HT 1-2 Oulu Oulu FİN2
10.08.2019 Oulu Oulu 1-2 HT 0-1 EIF EIF FİN2
16.06.2019 EIF EIF 0-3 HT 0-1 Oulu Oulu FİN2
13.08.2018 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 0-0 EIF EIF FİN2

EIF 1-1 Oulu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EIF
1-1
AWAY Oulu
1.47 xG 1.32
25% Ball Possession 75%
4 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 10
137 Passes 616
61% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 33
8 Crosses 44
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH EIF vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EIF and Oulu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Oulu at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, EIF had 25% of the ball to Oulu's 75%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 1.47 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oulu led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for EIF and 1.67 for Oulu.

What was the final score of EIF vs Oulu?

EIF 1-1 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EIF vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split EIF 35%, draw 23%, Oulu 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Oulu), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oulu) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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