IF Fuglafjordur 2-4 NSI Runavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Faroe Islands - Master League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
9.57
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
62%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
43%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
7%
+12.0pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.7pp
62%
Away Win
79%
-16.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Fuglafjordur EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY NSI Runavik EU Bookmakers 84%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.75/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/0.99
+1% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -35%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IF Fuglafjordur
0W-1D-4L
AWAY NSI Runavik
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 9
24.10.2021 IF Fuglafjordur IF Fuglafjordur 2-5 HT 1-1 NSI Runavik NSI Runavik FAROEM
01.08.2021 IF Fuglafjordur IF Fuglafjordur 1-1 HT 1-1 NSI Runavik NSI Runavik FAROEM
18.10.2020 IF Fuglafjordur IF Fuglafjordur 2-3 HT 1-0 NSI Runavik NSI Runavik FAROEM
06.08.2020 IF Fuglafjordur IF Fuglafjordur 0-1 HT 0-1 NSI Runavik NSI Runavik FAROEM
27.05.2020 NSI Runavik NSI Runavik 5-0 HT 1-0 IF Fuglafjordur IF Fuglafjordur FAROEM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IF Fuglafjordur
2-4
AWAY NSI Runavik
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IF Fuglafjordur vs NSI Runavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NSI Runavik saw off IF Fuglafjordur 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had NSI Runavik as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, IF Fuglafjordur had 35% of the ball to NSI Runavik's 65%, shots finished 8-17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, NSI Runavik led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IF Fuglafjordur and 3.00 for NSI Runavik.

What was the final score of IF Fuglafjordur vs NSI Runavik?

IF Fuglafjordur 2-4 NSI Runavik in the Faroe Islands - Master League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Fuglafjordur vs NSI Runavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an NSI Runavik win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split IF Fuglafjordur 19%, draw 19%, NSI Runavik 62%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NSI Runavik), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NSI Runavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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