FAR Rabat 3-1 Maghreb Fes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.32
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.51
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.77
6+ Goals
7%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 32% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-13.7pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.6pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+8.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.1pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAR Rabat EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Maghreb Fes EU Bookmakers 12%
+13% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
2.36/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.32
+38% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +24%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
444 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAR Rabat
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Maghreb Fes
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2023 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 1-3 HT 0-0 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat FAS
17.06.2023 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 0-1 HT 0-0 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat FAS
18.01.2023 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 2-1 HT 1-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
23.06.2022 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 0-0 HT 0-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
24.11.2021 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 0-0 HT 0-0 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat FAS
13.05.2021 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 3-2 HT 2-2 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FAR Rabat
3-1
AWAY Maghreb Fes
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FAR Rabat vs Maghreb Fes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAR Rabat beat Maghreb Fes 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FAR Rabat as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FAR Rabat had 63% of the ball to Maghreb Fes's 37%, shots finished 18-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FAR Rabat had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FAR Rabat and 0.67 for Maghreb Fes.

What was the final score of FAR Rabat vs Maghreb Fes?

FAR Rabat 3-1 Maghreb Fes in the Morocco - League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAR Rabat vs Maghreb Fes?

Before kick-off our model rated a FAR Rabat win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split FAR Rabat 58%, draw 25%, Maghreb Fes 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FAR Rabat) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FAR Rabat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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