Pretoria Callies 2-1 Hungry Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
45%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
34%
-9.5pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.0pp
45%
Away Win
34%
+10.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pretoria Callies EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hungry Lions EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.90/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.01
-25% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pretoria Callies
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Hungry Lions
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.10.2023 Hungry Lions Hungry Lions 1-1 HT 0-0 Pretoria Callies Pretoria Callies GAF1
21.02.2023 Hungry Lions Hungry Lions 1-1 HT 0-0 Pretoria Callies Pretoria Callies GAF1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pretoria Callies
2-1
AWAY Hungry Lions
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pretoria Callies vs Hungry Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pretoria Callies edged past Hungry Lions 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hungry Lions at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pretoria Callies had 45% of the ball to Hungry Lions's 55%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pretoria Callies and 1.00 for Hungry Lions.

What was the final score of Pretoria Callies vs Hungry Lions?

Pretoria Callies 2-1 Hungry Lions in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pretoria Callies vs Hungry Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hungry Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pretoria Callies 25%, draw 31%, Hungry Lions 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hungry Lions) ✗ Under 2.5
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