Asante Kotoko 1-0 Samatex — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asante Kotoko EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Samatex EU Bookmakers 31%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-21% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asante Kotoko
1-0
AWAY Samatex
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Asante Kotoko vs Samatex
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asante Kotoko edged past Samatex 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Asante Kotoko as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Asante Kotoko had 60% of the ball to Samatex's 40%, shots finished 15-10.

What was the final score of Asante Kotoko vs Samatex?

Asante Kotoko 1-0 Samatex in the Gana - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asante Kotoko vs Samatex?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asante Kotoko win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Asante Kotoko 42%, draw 27%, Samatex 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asante Kotoko), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Asante Kotoko) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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