Gangwon 4-1 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.46
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
26%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.51
Over 2.5
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
5.48
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
13%
4.96
X/2
10%
5.52
X/X
15%
3.61
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.42
2/X
5%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
37%
+11.1pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.6pp
26%
Away Win
32%
-6.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangwon EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.25/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.31
+7% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
15.4 Crosses 14.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangwon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Incheon United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.06 xG 0.64
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
380 Passes 370
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 1-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
02.07.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 1-0 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
16.04.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 0-2 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
08.10.2022 Gangwon Gangwon 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
02.09.2022 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
22.06.2022 Incheon United Incheon United 4-1 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gangwon
4-1
AWAY Incheon United
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
282 Passes 523
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gangwon vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon cruised past Incheon United 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gangwon as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Gangwon had 41% of the ball to Incheon United's 59%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gangwon and 1.33 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Gangwon vs Incheon United?

Gangwon 4-1 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangwon vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gangwon win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gangwon 48%, draw 26%, Incheon United 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gangwon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gangwon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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