HNK Cibalia 1-1 Orijent 1919 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Orijent 1919 EU Bookmakers 33%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.50
+12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Cibalia
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Orijent 1919
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
24.02.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-0 HT 0-0 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
30.09.2023 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 0-3 HT 0-1 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Cibalia
1-1
AWAY Orijent 1919
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HNK Cibalia vs Orijent 1919
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia and Orijent 1919 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was HNK Cibalia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, HNK Cibalia had 49% of the ball to Orijent 1919's 51%, shots finished 15-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, HNK Cibalia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for HNK Cibalia and 0.00 for Orijent 1919.

What was the final score of HNK Cibalia vs Orijent 1919?

HNK Cibalia 1-1 Orijent 1919 in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Cibalia vs Orijent 1919?

Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Cibalia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split HNK Cibalia 42%, draw 28%, Orijent 1919 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (HNK Cibalia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HNK Cibalia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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