Yuen Long 2-4 Wing Yee — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

Yuen Long
2-4 HT 1-1
Wing Yee
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division – 2023/2024

Yuen Long vs Wing Yee Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.51
Over 2.5
64%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
4%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-8.0pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.5pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+10.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yuen Long v Wing Yee — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Wing Yee EU Bookmakers 22%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
3.94/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.57
+90% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.4 Yellow Cards 0.8

Yuen Long vs Wing Yee Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yuen Long
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Wing Yee
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Wing Yee Wing Yee 2-2 HT 1-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
07.05.2023 Wing Yee Wing Yee 1-1 HT 0-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
16.10.2022 Yuen Long Yuen Long 2-1 HT 2-1 Wing Yee Wing Yee HK2
17.10.2021 Wing Yee Wing Yee 0-1 HT 0-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
POST-MATCH Yuen Long vs Wing Yee
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wing Yee beat Yuen Long 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Yuen Long at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Yuen Long had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Yuen Long and 1.00 for Wing Yee.

What was the final score of Yuen Long vs Wing Yee?

Yuen Long 2-4 Wing Yee in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yuen Long vs Wing Yee?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yuen Long win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Yuen Long 52%, draw 19%, Wing Yee 30%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yuen Long) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yuen Long) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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