Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 2-4 Fortuna Sittard (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
7.78
Draw
14%
5.28
Away
73%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.61
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.82
No
63%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
32%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
38%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
10%
+2.7pp
14%
Draw
16%
-1.5pp
73%
Away Win
74%
-1.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
51%
-13.9pp
63%
BTTS No
49%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K) EU Bookmakers 79%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
239 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.0
Crosses 31.0
Yellow Cards 0.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
2-4
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K)
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Sittard (K) beat Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 4-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fortuna Sittard (K) as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) had 33% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard (K)'s 67%, shots finished 9-15.

What was the final score of Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)?

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 2-4 Fortuna Sittard (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Sittard (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 12%, draw 14%, Fortuna Sittard (K) 73%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Sittard (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Sittard (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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