Fukushima United 1-2 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-33% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fukushima United
1-2
AWAY Omiya Ardija
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fukushima United vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija nicked a narrow win over Fukushima United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Omiya Ardija as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fukushima United had 42% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 58%, shots finished 10-17.

What was the final score of Fukushima United vs Omiya Ardija?

Fukushima United 1-2 Omiya Ardija in the Japan - J3 League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fukushima United vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fukushima United 30%, draw 27%, Omiya Ardija 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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