Alajuelense 2-2 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 30%
+16% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.50/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.25
-6% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.02.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
19.11.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 0-2 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTK
05.11.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 HT 1-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
04.09.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
29.05.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-1 HT 3-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
26.05.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
2-2
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense and Deportivo Saprissa couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Alajuelense at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Alajuelense had 54% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 46%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alajuelense and 0.83 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Alajuelense 2-2 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 43%, draw 25%, Deportivo Saprissa 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alajuelense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
21 Apr 2024
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